The ISPS Code as a component of onboard resources in Bayesian Analysis.

Annual General Assembly 2005 - Malmö

Section 2

The ISPS Code as a component of onboard resources in Bayesian Analysis.

Vladimir A. LOGINOVSKY, Alexander P. GOROBTSOV, Vladimir E. KUZMIN - Navigation Department Admiral Makarov State Maritime Academy, St Petersburg, the Russian Federation.

ABSTRACT

Nowadays, the influence of resources on safety and security at sea is one of the most critical elements of the existing management system. Already enormous regulatory workload on crew under ISM Code, STCW, SOLAS and MARPOL has now increased due to ISPS Code requirements. This again puts more stress on human and organisational factors in general, and deck officers’ attention and performance in particular. The importance of human resources can be well reflected in a model, however, it is difficult to reveal through statistics. Since Bayesian networks naturally represent causal chains, that is, cause-effect relationships between parent and child nodes, we can supply evidence of past events, and then run the Bayesian network to see what the most likely future outcomes will be. Their strength is that they are robust if missing of some part of information, and will make the best possible prediction with whatever information is present. Therefore they were used for modelling crew resources. The modelling proves an overload of crew members, and shows the limited resources on board ship. To ensure efficiency of ISPS Code procedures, extra training is required which should be incorporated into the general curriculum of MET institutions. More attention to security issues should be paid on the part of Port Facilities. ISPS Code related inspections should consider the availability of manpower on board to ensure efficient performance.

Keywords: ISM Code, ISPS Code, Crew Resources, Bayesian Networks.